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This year, more than 55 million people will be traveling home for Thanksgiving via planes, trains and automobiles in what is estimated to be the third-busiest travel period on record.Â
An estimated 49 million people will hit the roads, with 4.5 million traveling through airports and another 1.4 million estimated to travel via trains and buses, according to AAA. It’s a 1.5 percent bump over last year’s holiday travel and only 2 percent less than pre-pandemic travel records. Â
The busiest travel days during Thanksgiving week are usually Tuesday, Wednesday and the Sunday after the holiday, with airports, roads and train terminals all experiencing increased congestion.Â
Thanksgiving Eve on Wednesday tends to be the busiest day for travel, with 45,000 flights scheduled.
As of Wednesday morning, about 1,310 flights to, from and within the US have been delayed, with 35 flights canceled so far, according to FlightAware.Â
Experts expect severe road congestion around major cities, with traffic delays as much as double normal, and the highways around Atlanta, Chicago, New York City, and Los Angeles seeing the worst impact.Â
Throwing a wrench in this year’s travel plans are approaching storms affecting airports in the West and South just a week after some parts of the US were hit by strong snow storms.
A storm formed over the Northwest on Tuesday, and as the holiday approaches, it is expected to move West, drenching the Great Plains by Thanksgiving and threatening to bring winter weather across New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle Thursday into Friday, according to Accuweather.Â
QUEENS, NY: One way traffic on the Belt Parkway in Queens on November 23 as people travel for Thanksgiving on what is expected to be the busiest day on the roads as travel returns to pre-pandemic levelsÂ
O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: Travelers wait at the security check point as an estimated 4.5 million people are expected to travel by air for the holiday, with Chicago, Atlanta and New York forecasted to be among the busiest hubs Â
O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: A passenger is seen sleeping as she waits for her flight out of Chicago
JFK AIRPORT, NYC: The early start proved too much for some who snuck in a nap while waiting for their flightsÂ
JFK AIRPORT, NYC: Long lines are already forming on Wednesday morning at the New York airport. Thanksgiving Eve on Wednesday tends to be the busiest day for travel
PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: While the airports see their own congestion, the volume of travelers at Penn Station are expected to rise as an estimated 1.4 million people take the trains and buses home this Thanksgiving
PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: Several people were seen catching come rest at Moynihan Train Hall on Wednesday
PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: The New York train hub is expected to be one of the busiest in the nation for the holiday
GRAND CENTRAL STATION, NEW YORK: Similar traffic is expected to hit the station as travelers flood the railroads
BROOKLYN, NY: Along with New York City, Atlanta, Chicago and Los Angeles will be hit worst by road congestion this week as traffic is predicted to more than double
O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: On Wednesday morning, security checkpoints were already backed up at the air hub
Here’s how forecasters say the weather could play out over the Thanksgiving travel period:Â
- Wednesday: Flurries and light snow will cross Montana, Wyoming and the Dakotas, with the continued possibility of rain in Florida . Another storm is expected to move from the southern Plains and Mississippi Valley over to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast
- Thanksgiving Day: A large storm system forms across the center of the country, stretching from Houston to Detroit. Most affected areas will see heavy rain, but snow is possible in parts of the Upper Midwest.Â
- Friday: Heavy rain will continue in Texas and push east, with a line of storms stretching from the Carolinas to New England. A new line of storms moves over the Pacific Northwest, hitting Portland and Seattle.Â
- Saturday: Skies clear for much of the country, but a new wave of Gulf moisture brings drenching rain over New Orleans and Mississippi, moving into the Ohio River Valley and Carolinas by nightfall.Â
- Sunday: Storms are possible over Denver, Chicago and New York City on one of the busiest travel days of the period.Â
The Transportation Security Administration screened more than 2.6 million travelers on Monday, surpassing the 2.5 million screened the Monday before Thanksgiving in 2019.Â
The same trend occurred Sunday, marking the first year the number of people catching planes on Thanksgiving week surpassed pre-pandemic levels.Â
On Tuesday, the TSA screened about 2.3 million people, beating out las year’s number and nearly hit 2019’s 2.4 million. Â
U.S. airlines plan to operate 13 percent fewer flights this week than during Thanksgiving week in 2019. However, by using larger planes on average, the number of seats will drop only 2 percent, according to data from travel-researcher Cirium.Â
Airlines continue to blame flight disruptions on shortages of air traffic controllers, especially in Florida, a major holiday destination.
Stephanie Escutia, traveling with four children, her husband and her mother, said it took the family four hours to get through checking and security at the Orlando airport early Tuesday.Â
The family was returning to Kansas City in time for Thanksgiving after a birthday trip to Disney World.Â
‘We were surprised at how full the park was,’ said Escutia, 32. ‘We thought it might be down some but it was packed.’
She welcomed the sense of normalcy, and said her family would be gathering for Thanksgiving without worrying about keeping their distance this year. ‘Now we are back to normal and looking forward to a nice holiday,’ she added.
Controllers, who work for the Federal Aviation Administration, ‘get tested around the holidays. That seems to be when we have challenges,’ Frontier Airlines CEO Barry Biffle said a few days ago.Â
‘The FAA is adding another 10 percent to headcount, hopefully that’s enough.’
Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has disputed such claims, saying the vast majority of delays and cancellations are caused by the airlines themselves.
TSA expects airports to be busier than last year and probably about on par with 2019.Â
The busiest day in TSA’s history came on the Sunday after Thanksgiving in 2019, when nearly 2.9 million people were screened at airport checkpoints.
‘Anticipate long TSA lines. If possible, avoid checking a bag to allow for more flexibility if flights are delayed or you need to reschedule,’ warned Mary Maguire, Vice President of Public and Government Affairs at AAA Northeast.Â
United Airlines said last week it expects to carry 5.5 million passengers during the Thanksgiving travel period, up about 12 percent from 2021.
The carrier will operate more than 3,700 flights per day on average during the holiday period from November 18 to 30. United forecasts it will carry about as many passengers over the holiday as in the pre-pandemic period in 2019.
United also predicts November 27 – the Sunday after Thanksgiving – will be its busiest travel day since the onset of the pandemic, with more than 460,000 passengers.
Along with the storm moving West, the South – from Memphis to New Orleans – can expect heavy thunderstorms and reduced visibility. However, widespread flooding is not expected, Accuweather said.Â
The Midwest and Northern Plains should expect intermittent rainfall throughout the holiday and Nebraska, South Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Colorado and New Mexico could get snow as temperatures drop.Â
Other places, like Buffalo, New York, that got six feet of snow after experiencing a lake effect storm last week, could have more dire weather as the storm passes through.Â
If heavy rainfall hits the area, flooding could occur as the snow melts.Â
‘There could be a serious concern for flooding,’Â AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brian Wimer said.Â
If the storm lingers into the weekend, major airline hubs in Chicago, Atlanta, and New York could all be affected on some of the busiest travel days of the year.Â
JFK AIRPORT, QUEENS: A man uses his travel bag as a pillow at the corner of a wall to sleep before his flight takes off
NYC: We ride at dawn! Thanksgiving getaway travelers skip the airport traffic and opt for the AirTrain to JFK as dawn breaks over New York CityÂ
PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: Massive lines were already forming on Wednesday morning in Moynihan Train Hall
PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: Travelers were crowding around lines as they made their way through the terminal
PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: With a high volume of travelers, police presence has ramped up at the train terminal
GRAND CENTRAL STATION, NEW YORK: A traveler is seen rushing to her train with her child in towÂ
O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: Security check points were congested on Wednesday morning at the airportÂ
O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: Passengers are dealing with long, winding lines on the busiest travel day of the year
O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: American Airlines predicts that this year’s travel week will be less hectic than previous years
O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: This year’s travel is nearly on par with 2019, which was the busiest on recordÂ
 O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: Drop-off chaos at Chicago’s O’Hare departure terminals as travelers get away for their Thanksgiving breaksÂ
 PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: Travelers are seen exiting the busy train station on WednesdayÂ
Airports have seen an increased number of passengers as the travel industry continues to rebound, leaving many with high ticket prices as the holiday season kicks off.Â
The average roundtrip domestic flight cost travelers around $350 this year, up 22 percent compared to 2019 and 43 percent from last year, according to Forbes. International flights are up 25 percent compared to 2019, averaging just under $800.Â
As Christmas moves closer, fliers can expect to dish out even more money, with domestic flights ranging above $450 and international running about $1,300, Forbes reported.Â
Those traveling via car could be facing the highest gas prices ever for the Thanksgiving holiday travel season, as millions prepare to hit the road amid still sky-high prices and inflation.Â
The national average price for a gallon of gas is projected to hit $3.68 next Thursday, November 24 as Americans prepare for the feast.Â
That number is 30 cents higher than the same time in 2021 and over 20 cents higher than the previous record of $3.44 per gallon in 2012.
PENNSYLVANIA STATION, NYC: Pictured: A mother sitting on the floor with her child as she waits for her train to arrive
 O’HARE AIRPORT, CHICAGO: Passengers are seen contending with long wait times throughout the nation’s airports
MILWAUKEE MITCHELL AIRPORT, WISCONSIN: Passengers in the Midwest and Northwest could see their travel plans foiled by a storm system in the area that is moving westwardÂ
NEWARK AIRPORT, NEW JERSEY: Passengers waited for their flight out of New Jersey
NEWARK AIRPORT, NEW JERSEY: The AAA warned, ‘Regardless of the mode of transportation you have chosen, expect crowds during your trip and at your destination’
AAA says another 1.43 million Americans plan to use other modes of travel, like buses and trains, a sizeable 23 percent increase from last year.
‘Regardless of the mode of transportation you have chosen, expect crowds during your trip and at your destination. If your schedule is flexible, consider off-peak travel times during the holiday rush,’ said Maguire.Â
Despite the expected congestion and near record travel numbers, Sharon Pinkerton, senior vice president at the trade group Airlines for America, said that traveling this year would not be as painful as previous years.Â
‘People are spreading their travel out throughout the week, which I also think will help ensure smoother operations,’ she said.Â
She added that airports have learned from the challenges over the summer, which saw thousands of flights canceled or delayed during holidays.Â
‘We did have a challenging summer,’ said Pinkerton, ‘As a result, we’re confident that the week is going to go well.’Â
As Thanksgiving week kicked off, parts of upstate New York were digging out from a potentially record-breaking snowfall over the weekend.
‘This has been a historic storm. Without a doubt, this is one for the record books,’ New York Governor Kathy Hochul said at a briefing Sunday.
Snow began falling Thursday in towns south of Buffalo. By Saturday, the National Weather Service recorded 77 inches in Orchard Park, home to the NFL’s Buffalo Bills, and 72 inches in Natural Bridge, a hamlet near Watertown off the eastern end of Lake Ontario.
Similar multiday storms have brought bigger snowfall totals than in the past to New York, but the ferocity of the storm on Friday appeared to threaten the state’s record for most snowfall in a 24 hour period: the 50 inches that fell on Camden, New York, on February 1, 1966.
National Weather Service meteorologist Jason Alumbaugh, who is based in Buffalo, said it was too early to say if any of this year’s snowfalls exceeded that record.
While the snow melts, most of the nation will see a dry and sunny Thanksgiving Day, however, rain is expected to fall for much of central and eastern Texas, as well as in Arkansas, Louisiana and the Lower Mississippi River Valley.Â
The Northeast will stay in the 40s and 50s, and in New York City, which hosts the annual Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade, temperatures should be in the mid-30s, with highs at around 50.Â
It should remain sunny in Manhattan, where 16 giant characters, 28 floats, 12 marching bands, 700 clowns and several music stars are set to make their way through on Thanksgiving Day.Â
Organizers said the parade is expected to draw in about 3 million spectators as the attractions make their way from the Upper West Side to Macy’s iconic store at Herald Square.Â
The attendance is predicted to include 500,000 more people than last year. The 2020 parade was a TV-only festival due to the the pandemic. Â
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